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Spending AnalysisApril 17, 2026·7 min read

Medicaid Spending by State: Who Gets the Most Federal Dollars?

New York receives $81.1 billion in Medicaid payments — more than California and Massachusetts combined. The top 5 states account for 58% of total spending. Here's the full state-by-state breakdown of $1.09 trillion in taxpayer-funded healthcare.

$81.1B
New York (#1)
$36.8B
California (#2)
49
States + DC
58%
Top 5 States' Share

The Concentration Problem

Medicaid spending is wildly uneven. New York alone accounts for 27% of all payments in our dataset — driven by the state's massive home care industry, high provider reimbursement rates, and the largest Medicaid enrollment in the country. Our investigation into New York's $47 billion home care machine reveals why: Brooklyn alone has dozens of agencies billing $200M+ each.

This concentration matters for policy. When Congress debates Medicaid cuts, the impact is not distributed evenly. A 10% reduction affects New York's $81 billion stream very differently than Wyoming's. States with large Medicaid populations and expensive provider networks absorb disproportionate cuts.

Top 20 States by Medicaid Spending

#StateTotal PaymentsClaimsTop Providers% of Total
1New York$81.1B669M20826.6%
2California$36.8B576M10012.0%
3Massachusetts$30.8B354M7810.1%
4New Jersey$16.2B350M615.3%
5Michigan$12.0B165M453.9%
6Texas$10.1B169M403.3%
7Missouri$9.3B127M323.0%
8Tennessee$8.6B70M212.8%
9Ohio$8.6B203M322.8%
10Arizona$8.5B164M342.8%
11Minnesota$5.8B46M251.9%
12Kentucky$5.7B77M241.9%
13Connecticut$5.1B115M191.7%
14Alabama$4.7B65M81.6%
15Virginia$4.6B42M201.5%
16North Carolina$4.6B159M161.5%
17Colorado$4.4B119M81.4%
18Indiana$3.3B36M161.1%
19Pennsylvania$3.2B37M161.1%
20Illinois$3.2B66M111.1%

New York: The $81 Billion Outlier

New York's Medicaid spending is in a category of its own. At $81.1 billion, it exceeds California ($36.8B) despite having roughly half the population. The reason is structural: New York has the most generous Medicaid program in the country, with benefits that go far beyond federal minimums.

The state's home care spending alone is staggering. Our analysis of T1019 billing codes shows the top 100 personal care billers in New York received over $47 billion — nearly half the state's total. Brooklyn is the epicenter, with agencies concentrated in neighborhoods where Medicaid enrollment is highest.

New York is also where potential federal cuts hit hardest. Under the OBBBA's proposed FMAP reduction, dropping the federal match for expansion populations from 90% to 80% could shift billions to the state budget.

The Small States, Big Spending Problem

Raw dollar totals don't tell the full story. On a per-capita basis, smaller states often have disproportionately high Medicaid spending. Massachusetts ranks #3 in total spending at $30.8 billion despite being the 16th largest state by population. Connecticut ($6.3B) and Vermont consistently rank high on per-enrollee spending.

Our geographic risk analysis shows this pattern extends to fraud signals too. Vermont leads the nation in fraud flags per 100,000 residents (1.08), followed by DC (1.03) and Maine (1.00). Small states aren't immune to the waste problem — in some cases, they're more vulnerable because smaller oversight agencies have fewer resources to monitor billing patterns.

States in Austerity Mode

As of April 2026, multiple states are already grappling with Medicaid budget pressures — even before the OBBBA's full effects take hold:

  • Colorado: Facing a $1.5 billion budget shortfall. The state is debating a 2% cut to Medicaid provider reimbursement rates to save $95 million.
  • Idaho: Governor Brad Little approved $22 million in cuts to Medicaid disability services in March 2026.
  • Arizona: Our analysis found 46 new providers that appeared in 2022+ and immediately billed $800M+ combined — raising questions about oversight.
  • Minnesota: Facing federal pressure after CMS threatened to withhold payments over potential fraud. The state submitted a corrective action plan in March 2026.

What the Data Tells Us

The state-by-state picture reveals why one-size-fits-all Medicaid policy is so difficult. New York's $81 billion program has fundamentally different dynamics than Texas's $10 billion program. The fraud patterns in Minnesota look nothing like the spending patterns in California. Provider networks, reimbursement rates, enrollment policies, and oversight capacity vary enormously.

What's consistent across states is that accountability matters. Whether a state spends $1 billion or $80 billion, the same tools can identify anomalies: statistical outliers, impossible billing volumes, exclusion list violations, and sudden behavior changes. Our watchlist covers providers in every state — because fraud doesn't respect state lines.

Explore the full data: browse all states, compare states side by side, or check any provider in any state.